Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	1.3	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	8	3	5	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.04	13	41	1	1.04	13	-	-	-	-	1.43	2.75	3	1.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +71.9% | ROI +75.1% | n=49 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.3% | EV +4.5% | ROI +5.6% | n=49 | k=3.45

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -5.0% | ROI +19.2% | n=49 | k=1.42

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.3% | ROI -13.0% | n=49 | k=1.38

AI-agent: At 61 minutes, Celta leads Elche 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors Celta, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels, despite Elche having more shots and showing more activity recently. Historical data supports a strong advantage for Celta with a -1 Asian Handicap, showing an 89.5% win rate and 75.1% ROI over 49 matches. The model confirms this bet with a 32.7% edge and 71.9% expected value at odds of 2.20. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Celta with risk control in place, while other markets like over 2.5 goals or under 3.5 goals are not recommended currently.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 61