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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	2.2	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	1.65

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.8% | EV +67.8% | ROI +67.6% | n=42 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.9% | EV +43.8% | ROI +41.4% | n=42 | k=2.20

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.6% | ROI -0.5% | n=42 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -8.2% | ROI -34.5% | n=42 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At 36 minutes in the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected in a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not show clear dominance. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team, and while Celta is more active than in their last meeting, Elche is underperforming. Historical data supports a strong edge for a -1 handicap on Celta, with a 67.6% ROI and an 87.1% win rate over 42 similar matches. The model confirms this bet with a 30.8% edge and 67.8% expected value at odds of 2.20. Although the position is already open or covered in the portfolio, this remains the best value bet with controlled risk. Other markets like over/under 3.5 and 2.5 goals show negative expected value, so no bets are advised there. Overall, this is a favorable situation to monitor or consider for a handicap bet on Celta, balancing historical strength and current market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 36