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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	2.2	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	1.65

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.7% | EV +67.5% | ROI +67.6% | n=42 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.5% | EV +42.9% | ROI +41.4% | n=42 | k=2.20

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.8% | ROI -5.0% | n=42 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -8.2% | ROI -34.5% | n=42 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At 37 minutes in the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not show clear dominance. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home team with a -1 handicap, showing 87.1% win probability and 67.6% ROI over 42 similar matches. The model confirms this with a +30.7% edge and +67.5% expected value at odds of 2.20, but no new bet is opened as the position is already active or covered. The top recommendation is to back Celta with AH -1, while monitoring the AH -1.5 option; under bets are not advised due to negative expected value. This is a favorable but controlled opportunity based on current game dynamics and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 37