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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	1.18	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	4.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	81	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	2.3	1.65	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.0% | EV +81.4% | ROI +90.7% | n=45 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.9% | ROI +22.7% | n=45 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -5.3% | ROI -23.0% | n=45 | k=1.65

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.3% | EV -15.9% | ROI +17.3% | n=45 | k=4.80

AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Celta leads Elche 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 41% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team, and while Celta is more active than in their last meeting, Elche is below their usual level. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap for Celta with a 100% win rate in 45 similar matches and a high ROI of 90.7%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +37.0% and expected value of +81.4% at odds of 2.20. Although no new bet is opened since the position is already covered, this remains the best betting opportunity, but caution is advised as the match progresses.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 79