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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	1.18	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	4.65

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	23	81	1	1.01	23	-	-	-	-	2.3	1.65	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.0% | EV +81.3% | ROI +93.0% | n=40 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.9% | ROI +9.2% | n=40 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -5.3% | ROI -13.4% | n=40 | k=1.65

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.9% | EV -18.2% | ROI +4.6% | n=40 | k=4.65

AI-agent: At the 81st minute, Celta leads Elche 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels, although shot data does not clearly confirm dominance. The recent phase shows home team pressure, with Celta playing more actively than in their last meeting, while Elche is below their usual level. Historical analysis supports a strong edge for a -1 handicap on Celta, with 40 similar matches showing a 100% win rate and a 93% ROI. The model confirms this with a 37% edge and 81.3% expected value at odds of 2.20. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. The top recommendation remains a bet on Celta -1, but risk control advises monitoring the match dynamics closely before increasing exposure.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 81