Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.38	-
Away	1	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	-	3	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
6.5	3.25	1.67	2.1	1.33	1.11	-	-	1.36	3.2	2.5	1.5	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.5% | EV +24.6% | ROI +24.6% | n=25 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.5% | EV +6.1% | ROI -30.7% | n=25 | k=1.33

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.9% | EV -4.4% | ROI +14.0% | n=25 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.6% | EV -4.8% | ROI -12.0% | n=25 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 42 minutes in the Getafe vs Vallecano match, Vallecano leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Vallecano, with odds dropping 59% from pre-match levels, reflecting their slight dominance in shots despite a balanced game tempo. Historical data for the +1 handicap on Vallecano shows strong past performance but the sample size is slightly below the preferred threshold, making the historical check weak. The model identifies a promising +1 handicap bet for Vallecano with an 18.5% edge and 24.6% expected value, yet entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is recommended given the match dynamics and incomplete confirmation of entry rules.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 42