Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.43	3.45
Away	2	0	0	9	5	4	1	-	1.3	2.75	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	17	1.02	17	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	2.2	1.7	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +46.6% | EV +128.2% | ROI +140.0% | n=10 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +21.6% | EV +74.7% | ROI -31.0% | n=10 | k=3.45

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.9% | EV +25.0% | ROI +32.5% | n=10 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.9% | ROI +19.0% | n=10 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At the 78th minute, Vallecano leads Getafe 2-0, with market pressure favoring the visitors as their odds have dropped significantly since pre-match. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Historically, similar scenarios show no wins for the home team under 1X bets, indicating weak historical support and a failed check. The model suggests a 1X bet with positive edge and EV, but entry is not confirmed due to poor historical validation. Top-4 markets recommend watching Asian Handicap options on both sides with notable edges but advise against betting on under 2.5 goals. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, and risk control is essential given the current game dynamics and history.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 78