Match Replay

Step 18 of 72. Current minute: 24 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	1.95	1.43	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.75	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	5.5	11	1.05	1.14	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.07	9

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.7% | EV +48.1% | ROI +121.1% | n=19 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.7% | EV +32.1% | ROI +94.7% | n=19 | k=2.75

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +27.8% | ROI +160.5% | n=19 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.6% | EV +3.0% | ROI +60.0% | n=19 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At 24 minutes into the match, Le Havre leads Metz 2-1. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot advantage and current score. However, recent play shows no sustained dominance from either team. Historical data for similar situations is limited and weak, with a 63.2% chance for a draw or away win but based on only 19 matches, below the minimum sample size. The model identifies value in betting on double chance X2 (draw or Metz win) with an edge of +13.7% and EV +48.1%, but entry conditions are not fully met due to the current match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, highlighting a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised given the incomplete confirmation and moderate risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 24