Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	2	-	2.25	2.5	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	-	1.5	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.48	4.5	6.5	1.11	1.18	2.5	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +29.7% | EV +74.1% | ROI +93.9% | n=123 | k=2.50

2) Watch | DRAW | Edge +15.3% | EV +68.8% | ROI +51.2% | n=123 | k=4.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.5% | EV +31.7% | ROI +43.1% | n=123 | k=1.62

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.9% | EV +17.9% | ROI +70.7% | n=123 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 40th minute with the score tied 1-1 between Rennes and Nantes, the market is favoring a draw, with the odds dropping 29% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support either side, though Nantes have applied more pressure recently. Historical data shows a 43.1% probability for a draw or away win in similar situations, with a strong ROI of 93.9%. The best model suggestion is a double chance on Nantes (X2) at 2.50 odds, showing a 29.7% edge and 74.1% expected value. However, the entry rule is not yet met due to current match dynamics, so this remains a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Other monitored options include draw and Asian handicap for Nantes with positive expected returns but no confirmed entry signal.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 40