Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	0	-	-	-	2	1.77	1.38
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	3	2.1	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7	4	1.5	2.5	1.22	1.1	-	-	1.17	5	1.75	2.05	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.5% | EV +6.3% | ROI +1.6% | n=468 | k=1.77

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +5.4% | ROI +4.3% | n=468 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.8% | EV +3.8% | ROI +4.5% | n=468 | k=1.33

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.2% | EV +5.8% | ROI -3.3% | n=468 | k=1.38

AI-agent: At 43 minutes, FC Koln leads Union Berlin 1-0, with no red cards yet. The market favors the away side, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data does not confirm clear dominance, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical analysis for a home handicap +1.5 shows a 70.3% win rate but a negative ROI, indicating weak historical support. The model signals a potential value bet on home +1.5 with a positive edge and expected value, but since the historical check failed, no new bet is opened. Top-4 markets suggest watching the home +1, under 2.5, under 3.5, and home +1.5 handicaps with moderate edges and EVs, recommending monitoring rather than mandatory betting to manage risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 43