Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	2	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	2.75	2.05	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.25	2.3	3.1	1.33	1.53	1.33	-	-	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +22.6% | EV +32.1% | ROI +35.9% | n=344 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.0% | EV +62.9% | ROI +53.0% | n=344 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +7.8% | ROI +20.6% | n=344 | k=3.40

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.0% | EV +4.4% | ROI +10.8% | n=344 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 55th minute, the score is tied 1-1 between Vallecano and Sociedad in LaLiga. The market currently favors a draw, with odds dropping 30% from pre-match levels, reflecting the balanced but slightly more active play from Sociedad, especially in shots. Historical data supports a strong edge for a +1.5 handicap on the home team, with a 95.3% success rate and a 35.9% ROI over 344 matches. The model confirms this with a 22.6% edge and 32.1% expected value, though no new bet is advised as this position is already covered. Among top markets, the best bet is on AH_HOME+1.5, offering a good risk-reward profile, while other options like AH_HOME+1 and under 2.5 or 3.5 goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 55