Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	15	6	9	5	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	1.14
Away	3	0	0	11	7	4	4	-	5.75	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	4.5	1.22	4	1.18	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.4% | EV +42.0% | ROI -3.3% | n=53 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.2% | EV +9.0% | ROI -62.3% | n=53 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -3.8% | EV -17.2% | ROI -74.5% | n=53 | k=4.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -29.5% | EV -67.9% | ROI +2.8% | n=53 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At the 88th minute, Sociedad leads Vallecano 3-2 in a live LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The hosts are pressing hard in the final moments, but no clear gameplay advantage is evident despite the scoreline. Historical data for a +1 handicap on Vallecano is weak and shows negative ROI, and the model's best candidate bet on this handicap is no longer available as the entry window closed after the 86th minute. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the +1 handicap on Vallecano due to positive edge and expected value, but caution is advised given the historical underperformance. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 88