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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	4	-	-	-	1.55	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	2.4	2.5	1.5	1.5	1.22	-	-	1.36	3.2	1.33	3.4	2.38	1.55

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.7% | EV +52.6% | ROI +37.3% | n=472 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.0% | EV +12.9% | ROI -10.6% | n=472 | k=1.42

3) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.2% | ROI +139.0% | n=472 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -11.6% | ROI +99.5% | n=472 | k=3.40

AI-agent: At 46 minutes in the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, Alaves leads 1-0 but the market favors a draw, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Historically, the away handicap +1.5 has a strong record with 72.2% win rate and 37.3% ROI over 472 matches. The model sees value in betting on Ath Bilbao +1.5 at odds of 1.90 with a 27.7% edge and 52.6% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to current match dynamics. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, so risk control is advised while monitoring further developments.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 46